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2024-12-14 10:29:23

Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Tin Venture Capital and other companies have invested 300 million yuan in establishing low-altitude economic equity investment partnership. According to Tianyancha App, recently, Wuxi Liangxi Science and Technology City Xichuang Low-altitude economic equity investment partnership (limited partnership) was established. The executive partner is Wuxi Guolian Industrial Investment Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a capital contribution of 300 million yuan. Its business scope includes investment activities and venture capital with its own funds, and it is invested by Wuxi Innovation Investment Group Co., Ltd., Wuxi Xiangyun Investment Co., Ltd. and Wuxi Liangxi Science and Technology City.Tin Venture Capital and other companies have invested 300 million yuan in establishing low-altitude economic equity investment partnership. According to Tianyancha App, recently, Wuxi Liangxi Science and Technology City Xichuang Low-altitude economic equity investment partnership (limited partnership) was established. The executive partner is Wuxi Guolian Industrial Investment Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a capital contribution of 300 million yuan. Its business scope includes investment activities and venture capital with its own funds, and it is invested by Wuxi Innovation Investment Group Co., Ltd., Wuxi Xiangyun Investment Co., Ltd. and Wuxi Liangxi Science and Technology City.


Trump supports that American dockers' employers should not replace them with automated equipment. US President-elect Donald Trump met with the leaders of the International Dockers' Association on Thursday and expressed his support for the dockers' union. The union's strike in October led to the closure of ports in the east and the Gulf Coast, and may now strike again. Trump met with Harold Daggett, chairman of the labor union, and Dennis Daggett, his son and executive vice chairman, and then posted on social media: "I have studied automation and know almost everything about it. The money saved is far less than the anxiety, pain and harm it brings to American workers. " The union's strike in October closed all major container ports from Houston to Miami to Boston for three days, and then the union agreed to return to work in exchange for a 61.5% contract salary increase in the next six years.The concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Haida and SAIC have daily limit, while the concept of unmanned driving changed partially. Both Zhonghaida and SAIC have daily limit, and Gaoxinxing, Huati Technology, Yutong Heavy Industry and Jinlong Automobile have followed suit.Morgan Stanley Xing Ziqiang: China can fully withstand the improvement of the central financial deficit ratio. On December 13th, Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley China, said at the "Caijing Annual Meeting 2025: Forecast and Strategy" and the 2024 Global Wealth Management Forum that the Central Economic Work Conference broke the previous mindset of fiscal prudence. It is predicted that the budget of deficit ratio will reach a higher level next year, and may even exceed the level of 2020 (above 3.6%). With China's relatively strong national balance sheet, it can fully withstand the relatively high deficit ratio of the central government. Most other countries in the world have abandoned the so-called deficit ratio constraint of around 3% after facing the downturn of the real estate market and other factors.


The Philippines' current account deficit in the third quarter was $5.7 billion.Vista Jiajie: The development of cloud computing and digitalization in Asia-Pacific IT distribution is accelerating. According to the research report of CLSA, Vista Jiajie, as the eighth largest IT distributor in the world and the second largest IT distributor in China, has benefited from the rapid growth of cloud computing and the digitalization development in Southeast Asia, and has a good market position. The company occupies a dominant position in the ICT industry in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in Southeast Asia and China, with obvious demographic advantages and huge growth potential. Vista Jiajie is Starlink's preferred partner in ASEAN. The global cloud computing market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 18.6% from 2023 to 2027. Vista Jiajie has an optimistic prospect in the fields of cloud computing and artificial intelligence.The concept of memory chip fluctuated and strengthened. The daily limit of Purran shares was 20CM, and Zhaoyi Innovation approached the daily limit. Hengshuo shares, Netac Technology, Juchen shares and Weiwei Storage all rose by more than 5%.

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